Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.930828 1.087510 1.256112 1.450298 1.667017 1.900693 2.170932
2025-06-08 0.653171 0.866678 1.118575 1.433981 1.814426 2.254565 2.798063
2025-06-15 0.507442 0.755741 1.073462 1.500305 2.048493 2.718358 3.587278
2025-06-22 0.393076 0.653680 1.013304 1.527783 2.225196 3.117228 4.321571
2025-06-29 0.296109 0.550318 0.928101 1.501629 2.318460 3.406576 4.927698
2025-07-06 0.237013 0.488035 0.886775 1.524133 2.470479 3.774027 5.648269
2025-07-13 0.191445 0.435857 0.849619 1.543319 2.612785 4.130185 6.365948
2025-07-20 0.157414 0.395024 0.822242 1.570591 2.763897 4.501756 7.117365
2025-07-27 0.128525 0.356154 0.790679 1.584765 2.892066 4.842721 7.836511
2025-08-03 0.098681 0.306503 0.730738 1.542583 2.925308 5.041624 8.355941
2025-08-10 0.079435 0.274468 0.697605 1.540963 3.020153 5.333608 9.018724
2025-08-17 0.060459 0.236406 0.645269 1.497304 3.039549 5.507423 9.508970
2025-08-24 0.048604 0.213641 0.622087 1.507746 3.155611 5.844974 10.272208
2025-08-31 0.037700 0.189125 0.590607 1.498734 3.237655 6.133780 10.975578
2025-09-07 0.032961 0.182515 0.599350 1.570820 3.468602 6.673726 12.088863
2025-09-14 0.027035 0.168895 0.588449 1.600794 3.624195 7.095924 13.031399
2025-09-21 0.020189 0.147528 0.553175 1.574305 3.672017 7.339293 13.696972
2025-09-28 0.016292 0.136085 0.541697 1.597922 3.815040 7.747922 14.639671
2025-10-05 0.013026 0.125241 0.529445 1.617941 3.951436 8.149452 15.582057
2025-10-12 0.010539 0.116487 0.521336 1.646281 4.105123 8.585813 16.593369
2025-10-19 0.008275 0.106869 0.508282 1.661003 4.231658 8.978257 17.542278
2025-10-26 0.005701 0.091762 0.473312 1.617259 4.235210 9.151082 18.128227
2025-11-02 0.004225 0.082642 0.456034 1.615582 4.324902 9.480703 18.986037